Press release
2 minutes

Polygon Research Expands Loan-Level Non-QM Market Analysis in HMDAVision®

January 15, 2026
thumbnail for updated Non-QM Methodology
Author:
Polygon Research

WASHINGTON,D.C. — January 15, 2026 —Polygon Research, a Washington, D.C.-based data and analytics firm focused on housing finance, has released a January 2026 update to its Non-Qualified Mortgage (Non-QM) methodology, expanding loan-level analysis of Non-QM activity across seven years of Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) Loan/Application Register data within its HMDAVision® platform.

The Non-QM market is frequently referenced in industry and capital markets analysis, yet HMDA does not include a standardized Non-QM indicator. As a result, market estimates are often derived from securitization data, lender classifications, or inferred assumptions, which may not capture the full scope of primary market activity.

“This update allows users to work directly with loan-level HMDA records to better understand how Non-QM lending appears across borrowers, products, and geographies,” said Val Buresch, CMB, Founder and CEO of Polygon Research.

Polygon Research’s updated methodology leverages post-2018 HMDA fields to classify loans as Qualified Mortgage (QM), Non-QM, or out of scope for analytical purposes. Loans are evaluated against year-specific Ability-to-Repay and Qualified Mortgage standards, with purchaser information incorporated to improve visibility into Non-QM lending trends across products, pricing, borrower characteristics, and geography.

The January 2026 update includes refinements to the treatment of purchaser type, including clearer identification of loans sold to private securitizers and updated logic for loans reported as sold to “Other” purchasers.

The methodology is intended for market research and analytical use and does not replace legal or compliance determinations.

The full Non-QM methodology is publicly documented at: https://insights.polygonresearch.com/non-qm-market-definition

About Polygon Research

Polygon Research is a Washington, D.C.-based data and analytics firm focused on housing finance. The firm specializes in loan-level analysis of public datasets, including HMDA, Census, FHA, and agency mortgage-backed securities data, to support market research, competitive analysis, fair lending oversight, and policy evaluation.

More information about Polygon Research is available at https://www.polygonresearch.com

Media Contact

Val Buresch, CMB

Founder & CEO, Polygon Research

lburesch@polygonresearch.com

+1 (202) 844-2720

Press release
Polygon Research
2 minutes

Polygon Research Expands Loan-Level Non-QM Market Analysis in HMDAVision®

How is the Non-QM market defined? An updated loan-level perspective.

thumbnail for updated Non-QM Methodology

WASHINGTON,D.C. — January 15, 2026 —Polygon Research, a Washington, D.C.-based data and analytics firm focused on housing finance, has released a January 2026 update to its Non-Qualified Mortgage (Non-QM) methodology, expanding loan-level analysis of Non-QM activity across seven years of Home Mortgage Disclosure Act (HMDA) Loan/Application Register data within its HMDAVision® platform.

The Non-QM market is frequently referenced in industry and capital markets analysis, yet HMDA does not include a standardized Non-QM indicator. As a result, market estimates are often derived from securitization data, lender classifications, or inferred assumptions, which may not capture the full scope of primary market activity.

“This update allows users to work directly with loan-level HMDA records to better understand how Non-QM lending appears across borrowers, products, and geographies,” said Val Buresch, CMB, Founder and CEO of Polygon Research.

Polygon Research’s updated methodology leverages post-2018 HMDA fields to classify loans as Qualified Mortgage (QM), Non-QM, or out of scope for analytical purposes. Loans are evaluated against year-specific Ability-to-Repay and Qualified Mortgage standards, with purchaser information incorporated to improve visibility into Non-QM lending trends across products, pricing, borrower characteristics, and geography.

The January 2026 update includes refinements to the treatment of purchaser type, including clearer identification of loans sold to private securitizers and updated logic for loans reported as sold to “Other” purchasers.

The methodology is intended for market research and analytical use and does not replace legal or compliance determinations.

The full Non-QM methodology is publicly documented at: https://insights.polygonresearch.com/non-qm-market-definition

About Polygon Research

Polygon Research is a Washington, D.C.-based data and analytics firm focused on housing finance. The firm specializes in loan-level analysis of public datasets, including HMDA, Census, FHA, and agency mortgage-backed securities data, to support market research, competitive analysis, fair lending oversight, and policy evaluation.

More information about Polygon Research is available at https://www.polygonresearch.com

Media Contact

Val Buresch, CMB

Founder & CEO, Polygon Research

lburesch@polygonresearch.com

+1 (202) 844-2720

Learn more

Frequently asked questions

How does Polygon identify Non-QM loans without an official HMDA flag?
Because HMDA does not include an explicit QM indicator, Polygon Research reconstructs QM and Non-QM status using observable loan-level fields such as interest rate, points and fees, DTI, product features, and pricing thresholds aligned with Regulation Z.
Is Polygon's Non-QM classification a legal determination?
No. Polygon Research's Non-QM designation is a Regulation Z informed analytic classification designed for market intelligence, benchmarking, and strategy. It is not a substitute for lender-side legal or compliance determinations.
Why does Polygon Research's Non-QM market share differ from other industry estimates?
Most industry estimates rely on securitization data, inferred flags from known Non-QM lender names, samples, or lock activity. Polygon analyzes all funded HMDA loans, including portfolio lending, providing a more complete and transparent view of the Non-QM market.
How large is the Non-QM market according to Polygon Research?
Polygon Research estimates that about 9% of closed loans in 2024 were Non-QM, representing approximately $182 billion in production, including both securitized and portfolio loans.
Can I customize how Non-QM is defined in HMDAVision?
Yes. Polygon's Non-QM classification is fully transparent and built on specific, loan-level reason codes (pricing, fees, product features, purchaser type, and more). Users can filter and adjust these factors to focus only on regulatory features or build a custom definition aligned with their strategy, risk, or compliance needs.
Are investor and business-purpose loans included in the Non-QM category?
Yes. For analytical purposes, business-purpose and DSCR loans are incorporated into the Non-QM category and flagged separately, even though ATR/QM rules do not govern business-purpose credit.

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