Non-QM Market Data

$239 billion. 697,605 loans. 10% of the market. See where it’s happening — by state, metro, county, zip code or census tract.
Laptop with Non-QM market data dashboard by Polygon Research in HMDAVision

Current Non-QM Market At a Glance

$239B

Non-QM Market Size

Estimated total Non-QM origination volume, including securitized and portfolio loans.

698K

Non-QM Loans Originated

Total Non-QM origination count across U.S. markets.

10%

Share of Loan Originations

Non-QM as a percentage of the total U.S. mortgage origination market.

Updated April 19, 2026 | Non-QM originations: 2025 HMDA
Defining Non-QM

What is Non-QM Lending?

A Non-Qualified Mortgage is any home loan that falls outside the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau's Qualified Mortgage standards. That doesn't mean risky — it means the borrower's income, documentation, or loan structure doesn't fit the conventional box. Bank statement borrowers, DSCR investors, interest-only products, and loans sold to private securitizers all fall into Non-QM.

Non-QM is not subprime. It's a growing segment of creditworthy borrowers — self-employed professionals, real estate investors, and high-net-worth individuals — who need financing that conventional guidelines can't accommodate. In 2025, Non-QM reached $239 billion in origination volume across 697,605 loans. Understanding where this volume is concentrated, who's lending it, and how fast it's growing is how you find the opportunity.

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Non-QM Market Reports

Loan volume, top lenders, key metros, and borrower demand — by state.

Explore all U.S. markets in Polygon Vision  →

Who Uses Non-QM Market Data?

Whether you're sizing a new market, building a pitch, or benchmarking your production against the competition — Non-QM market data helps you make the case with numbers, not guesswork.

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Sales Managers

Use it to size the Non-QM opportunity in their footprint and identify which metros or neighborhoods are growing fastest.

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Brokers &
Loan Officers

See which Non-QM products are moving in your market and where borrower demand is strongest.

Wholesale & Correspondent AEs

Identify high-growth Non-QM markets to recruit brokers and position your products where demand is building.

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Compliance & Fair Lending Teams

Analyze Non-QM origination patterns by census tract, income level, and demographics for fair lending review.

HOW WE ESTIMATE NON-QM BORROWER POOL

Non-QM Opportunity

Polygon Research estimates the Non-QM market as a total addressable market (TAM) rather than a measure of annual loan volume. The goal is to size the population of households and small investors that may be more likely to rely on non-agency financing.
Our estimate combines two modeled groups: self-employed households with mortgage-relevant income and small real estate investors. Both are derived using American Community Survey (ACS) microdata processed through CensusVision, Polygon Research’s Census data platform.

Self-employed households

We begin by identifying self-employed households with annual income of $110,000 or more. This threshold is intended to approximate income levels that are more likely to support mortgage borrowing in many markets.

We then exclude households that own their homes free and clear or report paying no rent.

Small real estate investors

We also estimate the pool of small investors using the total number of single-family rental units in each state. To convert rental units into a likely investor-household count, we apply several simplifying assumptions:

  • approximately 65% of single-family rentals are owned by small, mom-and-pop landlords
  • we apply a 30% downward adjustment to reduce overlap with the self-employed segment
  • we assume an average of 2 properties per landlord household

Non-QM is 10% of the market. What’s it in your market?

Polygon Vision gives you loan-level Non-QM data for any state, MSA, county, or census tract — including lender rankings, borrower profiles, and borrower-paid pricing. Free for 7 days.

Frequently asked questions

How big is the Non-QM market?

Polygon Research calculates that Non-QM loans represented 10.2% of total U.S. mortgage originations in 2025 by loan count and 10% by dollar volume, totaling over $239 billion across 697,605 loans. This is based on loan-level HMDA data classified using the ATR/QM regulatory framework. This market size analysis is based on Polygon Research's methodology described in a recent whitepaper. You can download it here to learn more: https://www.polygonresearch.com/whitepapers/unlocking-non-qm-market-intelligence

How much does access to the Non-QM data cost?

We believe in fully transparent pricing—no hidden fees and no "call us for a quote" barriers. We offer three distinct subscription tiers to scale with your team's data needs: Starter, Pro, and Premium. Pricing starts at just $130/month (billed annually). You can view all of our pricing tiers and a full feature breakdown on our www.polygonresearch.com/pricing to find the perfect fit.

What types of loans are classified as Non-QM?

Non-QM loans include mortgages that do not meet Qualified Mortgage standards due to factors such as alternative income documentation (bank statement loans), debt service coverage ratio underwriting (DSCR loans for investors), interest-only payment structures, pricing above QM thresholds, or sale to private securitizers rather than government-sponsored enterprises. For analytical purposes, Polygon Research also flags business-purpose and DSCR loans separately within the Non-QM category. Download the full methodology: https://www.polygonresearch.com/whitepapers/unlocking-non-qm-market-intelligence

How do I get started or try it out?

You can start immediately with a 7-day free trial to get hands-on experience with the data before making any commitments. A credit card is required to register, but you will have full access to explore Polygon Vision's contextual analysis and Non-QM market insights during your trial. Start your free trial here: www.polygonresearch.com/pricing

Can I see Non-QM data for a specific state, MSA, or county?

Yes. Polygon Vision provides loan-level Non-QM analysis filterable by state, metropolitan area, county, and census tract. Data includes origination volume, top lenders, borrower profiles, pricing, and year-over-year growth trends. Free state-level reports are available on this page, and full interactive data is accessible through a 7-day free trial.

How does Polygon Research define Non-QM loans?

Each HMDA loan record from 2018 through 2025 is evaluated against year-specific Ability-to-Repay and Qualified Mortgage standards from 12 CFR §1026.43. Classification is based on observable loan characteristics including pricing thresholds, product features, fee structures, and purchaser type. The full methodology is publicly documented: https://www.polygonresearch.com/whitepapers/unlocking-non-qm-market-intelligence

Why does Polygon Research's Non-QM market share differ from other industry estimates?

Most industry estimates rely on securitization data, inferred flags from known Non-QM lender names, samples, or lock activity. Polygon analyzes all funded HMDA loans, including portfolio lending, providing a more complete and transparent view of the Non-QM market. Read our methodology: https://www.polygonresearch.com/whitepapers/unlocking-non-qm-market-intelligence

Are investor and business-purpose loans included in the Non-QM category?

Yes. For analytical purposes, business-purpose and DSCR loans are incorporated into the Non-QM category and flagged separately, even though ATR/QM rules do not govern business-purpose credit. Learn more in our methodology whitepaper.

Can I customize how Non-QM is defined in HMDAVision?

Yes. Polygon's Non-QM classification is fully transparent and built on specific, loan-level reason codes (pricing, fees, product features, purchaser type, and more). Users can filter and adjust these factors to focus only on regulatory features or build a custom definition aligned with their strategy, risk, or compliance needs. Download the methodology to learn more: https://www.polygonresearch.com/whitepapers/unlocking-non-qm-market-intelligence

Is Polygon's Non-QM classification a legal determination?

No. Polygon Research's Non-QM designation is a Regulation Z informed analytic classification designed for market intelligence, benchmarking, and strategy. It is not a substitute for lender-side legal or compliance determinations. To learn more, download the methodology: https://www.polygonresearch.com/whitepapers/unlocking-non-qm-market-intelligence